Thursday, March 31, 2011

The Wicked Witch Returns

I finally had some time to create another video...and just in time!!
The Wicked Witch has had a tough week. She and Ruprecht are making some new plans. Enjoy!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mOnKAh1L9e8

214 comments:

  1. Count down for GPL - 4.29 4.30 4.2934 0.1234 (2.96%) 2,138,965

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  2. malcolm

    My heart is beating just a little faster thinking about your UPS package. Makes me want to go out and get some more gold myself!

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  3. "All those hot little chickas are waiting for both of us". That is comedy gold, right there.

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  4. Thanks Stefan, for the note about Dent.

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  5. Happy in the Woods...
    Canadians are awesome people and some of the nicest people I've ever met anywhere.
    I'm a American and love my country but not all of it's policies or direction.

    MM seems to be the prototypical ZH poster who is angry, condescending and irrelevant as far as opinions go.
    He sounds like a narcisstic hater, wrapped in a flag of self righteousness and a know it all and we are all ignorant if we don't agree with him.
    Glad he finally outed himself.
    No going back from what he said regarding TF and choking on his blood food. How weird was that?

    Ok, enough of that.
    How about that crude price and dollar action today?

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  6. As always, Turd, a bullseye!!

    One thing to bear in mind as we compare early January with early April: We're a month closer to COMEX first delivery date this time around.

    That window for Blythe to hit $36 is going to be a VERY short one.

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  7. Ok, seeing that no one will bite. I just received a 2010 Gold Buffalo Proof! The Pièce de résistance of my "collection!

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  8. The Wicked Witch will be in the welfare line.

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  9. Turd

    Am laughing at the Fargo reference. Great movie!

    ",,,so that was your friend in the wood chipper."

    Well done Turd, well done.

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  10. TF - I watched the video as I watched the volume and price of silver running into the close.

    Awesome call (again)

    No need for groundhog day, you saw it coming ahead of time!

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  11. Ya a yooper you betcha! When the FRN collapses so does Big Mac! HAHAHA!

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  12. EA, I'm not sure what you're meaning by your post on GPL. Care to expound? I'm not sure if I've missed something posted earlier.

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  13. Another excellent TF production! Thanks for all your services!

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  14. Holy F'ing Shiz Turd. The video is remarkable

    We are all so lucky to have a real-time tour guide through history as it unfolds AND profit ridiculously from his sharpie and ruler

    Stunning and clear! Especially when it comes straight from Blythe's panicking piehole

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  15. Matt it was up 0.1234 check the BLACK FONT. You know like a countdown?

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  16. "Unfortunately, Master, We can fool Dennis Gartman but we can't fool Turd Ferguson."


    Good stuff.

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  17. @Economic Analyst,

    That was a little obscure.

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  18. A fool's errand chasing the Economic Analyst is

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  19. can someone please explain the FARGO reference. I did not get it.

    Thanks

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  20. a- In the penultimate scene of the movie, the bad guys try to get rid of a corpse by running it through a woodchipper. Rup and B are hoping Diamon does not do the same to them.

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  21. It's so great to see how Silver just floods every dip that comes. The minute chart of today is a fantastic example. I'm lovin' it.

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  22. Fargo - in a kidnapping-for-ransom gone awry, the kidnapping victim is ultimately killed, and fed through a wood chipper. Along with one of the kidnappers, who is 'chipped' by his partner.

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  23. CD- Just for my own curiosity, are you "Cog Diss" from ZH? And if you don't want to say, no worries- I was just wondering.

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  24. Rick,

    my dad was born and raised east of you in Sturgeon Falls, Ont. ... I still have many cousins there and when I would visit there was always alot of back and forth. Love the people up in those regions ... talk about community ... everybody generally pitches in to help one another out. The further south you come in Michigan and the bigger the city the worse it gets.

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  25. I was catching up so posted on the dead thread! Would just like to say that I am a Canadian, and Happy to be so. I commented on another thread that I feel unbelievably lucky to have been born so. But I greatly admire the American experiment as originally intended, and am exceedingly grateful for the cover they provide - an awesome neighbour, even if you cannot spell.

    Pining - I was agreeing with you on the previous thread about the Evil Entity running out of steam. If you check the 10 minute gold chart, for example, assuming gold was also a problem for them, it looks relentless. Silver you have to go back further, maybe 2 hours, but then it too climbs and climbs.

    And what about Stefan's questions? I too am confused about cups and handles.

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  26. The new video just lines up so nicely with Jim Crater's new call on silver, a whole week's worth of piling in, and then, their savage beatdown near forty

    Reminds me of last fall when we crossed 29 for the first time...39 could get the same treatment, I'm sure

    Wondering if the fairly heavy intro to this new video somehow doesn't come derived indirectly from one of SGS's claims earlier this week

    Thanks for the warning Turd

    "To blow on blow?" Hilarious

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  27. Rorschach's journal
    observed Turd Ferguson's latest video today, very interesting, something tells me this could be a lead. But still the question remains. How can these intelligent and creative video's have no more then a score, and a half thousand? hm? Is it really possible out of 300,000,000 Americans only 15,000 views are registered. Going to have to ponder this. Someone has the answer.

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  28. Xty- Sorry I missed your comment at the end of the other thread, but let's hope so! I am pulling for another of those patented 1.50$ increment rises- Turd's vaunted "swiss stair" formation. P.S.- cool new pic.

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  29. Yeah Xty, it's OK...it would take valuable time for chartists on here to type out a decent explanation, so I wasn't really expecting someone to do that out of charity during trading hours, just curious. No biggy

    From what I can tell from examples the CnH is like a 4 to 6 month formation but I always want other perspectives, of course. The more the merrier

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  30. @Pining - no, though I have great respect for the guy. I wish I'd come up with a more imaginative moniker, but by the time I thought to change it [exactly to avoid the confusion], it became too much of a hassle -- then Marla left(?) so I just stuck with it.

    BTW, in Fargo, it is only one of the two kidnappers who is ground up in the chipper, though the kidnapped victim does also die.

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  31. iFlash - 37.80 as we speak. Relentless. I used to defend my bullish stance by saying silver was resilient. But now I seem to see it as relentless, and am getting more and more bullish.

    What happened to betting about when silver would hit $40? Any takers? I had April 8th and the launcher of the bet had the 3rd I think.

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  32. I have an Idea... WEST of Manitoba tells eastern Cananda to shove it! West of Tennessee tells the eastern part of the US to shove it.
    The western part of the US and Cananda can form a new nation! It will be based on the Constitution of the US with a few changes. Ron Paul can be our 1st President. Anybody have a new name for this nation?

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  33. Volume is so minuscule today, that I'd be hesitant to attribute much meaning to today's move. Let's see what tomorrow brings.

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  34. Fargo, North Dakota - in the middle of nowhere I'd assume.

    As a young single man I took a business trip to Minot, ND once in August. At 10:30pm it was still light outside, but all the businesses were closed and everyone had gone to bed. Not exactly party-ville.

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  35. Rorshach,

    The videos require some knowledge of markets, economic theory and silver to understand... they won't go viral unless a person without a clue can watch it and instantly "get it." Also, As long as one believes that fiat is real money and silver is a commodity (like my wealthy father with all his millions in bonds), they can't grasp the message.

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  36. Good idea. We all need to act more like Arkansas.

    SK

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  37. Buying is not particularly strong today. Looks like market remains hesitant before tomorrow's job #.

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  38. http://blogs.forbes.com/louiswoodhill/2011/03/30/stop-the-madness-make-the-dollar-as-good-as-gold/

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  39. The Fargo quote was classic, I loved it.

    @bbdgoco: It was not in fact based on a true story, they say it is in the start of the movie to draw you into the story.

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  40. @Turd

    Brilliant as usual. Looks like we are going to close above 37.32, but not above 38. EE failed in bring price of silver down below 36. BM and the monkeys failed. It looks like the market has figured out what kind of game they are running and are countering very successfully. Maybe that means that we can ride higher faster than in the last 6 months. Early April promises a solid close over 38.

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  41. HMY is rallying from today's lows. Been a nice little ride. If you want a gold miner that has been tearing up the place lately, HMY's your baby.

    What's happened to SLW today? It's scraping bottom. I've just bought a thousand shares at 44.18. I expect at least a run back to 44.50. But what do I know? I live to the East of Tennessee.


    SK

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  42. sierra...call it Almost Heaven.

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  43. @ Stefan

    "I was not presenting 9/11 evidence to this forum in any way, and I'm confused as to how 9/11 has been invoked"

    I'll try to unconfuse you. The film opens with:

    "Massive evidence has come to our attention which shows that the backers, controllers and allies of Vice President Dick Cheney are determined to orchestrate and manufacture a new 9/11 terror incident and/or a new Gulf of Tonkin war provocation over the coming weeks and months."

    (There's that pesky 9/11 not even 30 seconds into the vid! And look. It's the subject of the video too! A new 9/11!)

    The film goes on to say that the Gulf of Tonkin was a US setup, ergo, the insinuation is that 9/11 was too via what's known as "a sleight of hand." The film then posits all sorts of related conspiracy theories and other 9/11-inspired nightmares scenarios which were to occur in "the coming weeks and months" by that wicked, wicked Dick Cheny, but, in case you missed it, Cheney (ahem) did step down from the vice presidency (peacefully, I might mention). There's also all those bits about "loyal" US military officers overthrowing their civilian command (that's called a military coup d'etat BTW and is definitely frowned upon by our Constitution), the complete dismissal and outright denial of any Iranian-instituted violence anywhere in the world (blaming Cheney instead), etc., etc. I mean, like I said, Twilight Zone. Actually worse. I'm insulting Rod Steiger.

    But I agree, this BBC5 vid isn't really a proper topic for this forum. Just find it weird that you try to deny what the test and subtext of this film are all about.

    Anyway, I'd rather watch a Blythe/Ruprecht video presentation any day of the week. Who needs lousy conspiracy theories when we've got Blythe cuz, ya know, truth is stranger than fiction.

    Thanks Turd. I'm going to get some popcorn.

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  44. Xty,

    re: friendly wager

    $39 is breached Tuesday, April 5...not sure we touch forty for sure until, let's say May 10

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  45. SSK is now out of SLW and two hundred bucks. Ouch.

    Can't win them all.

    SK

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  46. Actually, the 5 minute gold chart is awfully pretty. And my 16 year old son just brought me a cup of chai tea. Life is sweet sometimes, and it is so often the simple things that bring me pleasure. We sure spend a lot of time pursuing complex things just so we can do simple things. But when you live in a cold climate you just have to cope. That is why a boat calls out to us for at least a big chunk of the year once the little ones are more settled and larger.

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  47. Irene,

    You're right, I do see your point. I guess I was thinking more about the core of the story they are trying to present about the nukes being flown over American soil as opposed to the lead in and lackluster titling of the production

    Did you happen to get through the part about the nukes being flown to Barksdale? I remembering it when it happened and thinking it was very odd, but the MSM suddenly dropped the story

    I havent heard from you on that yet, but let's wait for the new site to see if we have a chance to and/or want to revisit. Cool?

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  48. Apparently some silver expert just went on CNBC and said silver may go back to 20. Possibly 18. Good grief. THis is what moves the markets now?


    SK

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  49. Xty: Mathematically based on +.0033 % per day average(since Jan 3/2011)... I say April 18th. I like 3s!

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  50. sierra - even though I live in Ontario and would have to move to join the better half of your new nation, I think it is a fabulous idea. It would make more sense for trade too, even for the east. But then there is the Quebec problem - so Ontario and Manitoba would have to join up with your states that border Lake Superior and we could control a vast supply of fresh water.

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  51. And I haven't given up on silver for the day - it has been too volatile lately.

    Stefan - a very reasonable entry. I am being rather bullish.

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  52. @ Stefan

    Absolutely cool.

    Speaking of cool, when I was a kid, nuclear anything was considered cool. I remember our entire 5th grade was taken to the nuke plant near Groton, CT and shown the nuclear rods. Up they came, "See the rods, kids?" Dem were da days.

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  53. "Those who believe in telekinetics, raise my hand." — Kurt Vonnegut

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  54. Nice official closing price in gold today.
    $1440 seems within reach of a closing price very soon.
    I'm hopeful that the repositioning of funds by the money managers and hedgies at the beginning of the new quarter is positive for the PM's going forward.

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  55. Okay - I will actually keep track.

    Stefan says:

    "$39 is breached Tuesday, April 5...not sure we touch forty for sure until, let's say May 10

    kiyotei says:

    "Xty: Mathematically based on +.0033 % per day average(since Jan 3/2011)... I say April 18th. I like 3s!"

    and I am 40 on April 8th.(I wish)

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  56. @SSK

    Just out of curiosity (cuz i've never lost a $0.01 on SLW) but given Turd's vid, why sell it at a loss? Better use of funds or just want to get out for the time being?

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  57. Just received my new Perth 2 oz Gold coin from Gainsville. I just thought the 1 oz coin felt good in your hand. Can not imagine how nice a 10 oz bar would feel.

    I have really been pondering what I should do with a nice gain from the sale of some property. I have almost no basis in property so I am looking at about 100k in taxes. Could not decide between exchanging into a farm or paying tax and putting into PM's. Thanks for the post this morning Turd...could not have been more timely for me.

    Thanks for all you have done:)

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  58. Oh oh - someone is after gold!

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  59. Because instead of a $200 loss, it would now be a $750 loss. It was always a trade. Not a long term hold. I have a lots of SLW in my core holdlings.

    I stopped out at 43.98. Believe me, years ago, I would have never entered the stop. But I've learned from the school of hard knocks to be a disciplined trader.

    SK

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  60. Xty: (closing my eyes tightly and pushing a knuckle into my forehead) "I see.... I see... a bleary Pining shuffling to his computer in the morning before work and whooping at 40$ silver on Monday, April 11" How much is the ante?

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  61. Low volume manipulation is underway. Big surprise. Tomorrow is another day.

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  62. By the way, now might be a good time to nibble at some SLW. It just dropped 90 cents in fifteen minutes. It will surely find support and retrace.

    SK

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  63. XTY...
    How about The Republic of West America?
    Pretty tough to name a country when you think about it. You only get one chance usually to do so unless something drastic happens. Which is what we are discussing.

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  64. I just queried news on SLW from my Schwab account and the only thing I see is they filed a Form 40-F. Anyone know what that is??

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  65. Glad I just sold my Sprott PHYS and bought more PSLV in place of it 30 minutes ago.

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  66. The SLW drop might just be a last day of the quarter profit taking move by some big fund.
    Thats my guess.

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  67. $40 Ag on April 8th would be a nice B-Day present for me on my 48th.

    A lot of 4's and 8's there. I like it :-)

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  68. Pining for the Fjords... I like the way you think. Sort of a "Dead Pool" for silver. An ounce of Ag seems a fitting way to build the kitty. Of course gambling is illegal most places so the winner gets arrested! :-)

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  69. malcolm

    Hey! I bit on your UPS gold post! 3rd comment from the top. No soup for me!

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  70. @ SSK

    Thanks.

    SLW serious part of our core, but maybe we should pick up some for trading too. I mean, I'm watching the damn thing anyway.... ;)

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  71. This 40-F is nothing. Just announcing their shareholder meeting in May.

    "Annual General Meeting of Shareholder

    Silver Wheaton will hold the Annual General Meeting of Shareholders in the West Meeting Room of the Vancouver Convention Centre, 1055 Canada Place, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada, on May 20, 2011, at 11:00 a.m. Pacific Time. "


    By the way, if you held SLW through the ex-div (21st I think) you should have 0.03 for each share deposited into your account at end of day.

    GOt to like that dividend.

    SK

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  72. Kiyotei- Gambling is such a harsh word, I prefer "charitable giving with a large operating expense". We donate an oz of silver to the charity of the winner's choice, but the rest go the the winner to cover the expenses of the operation. It's all good!

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  73. P4tFjs: Very nice! touche in fact. I'm afraid to ask what your charity would be though :-)

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  74. @Xty:

    - Tomorrow (Apr 1st): Silver and myself will both turn 39!
    - Apr 5th: Happy Tuesday with Silver @40.
    - Apr 26th: Option expiration with Silver @43.

    Cheers,
    Chuck

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  75. Rick,

    wondering the silver & gold sentiment in the UP. Are you kind of alone on this or are many up there involved. Also would like to know if you are buying phys, miners or both.

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  76. SSK - You are correct about some guy on CNBC regarding Silver. Guess who - its the FUCME CEO - Jeff Christian. He is shitting himself because his organization is about to become extinct. He is also the moron who "mispoke" at last years CFTC hearing and fumbled with selling 100x paper for every physical metal ounce. Also he had an altercation with the GotGoldReport and basically couldn't argue a point and so called Gene Arendsberg a moron and became very rude. Watch the clip - what a fumbler.

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  77. K- I would donate to The Dead Parrot Society, of course: a worthy operation dedicated to caring for retired Central Bankers, exhausted and decrepid after years of printing paper and endlessly shilling the strength of the product- "It's not dead. It's just resting. See? It moved!". Poor, poor folks.

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  78. I'll go out on a limb My Silver predictions...
    48 by end of July.
    64 by end of Year.
    Could have a 20% negative correction at any time, but if we do will recover to the trend line that includes 48 in July and 64 in December.

    I actually think it will do better, but these are the numbers and pullbacks I'm using for planning and risk management in my gambling account.

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  79. mrttt63,

    Interesting. The guy actually moved the market.

    SLW really took a beat down. Like others have said, fund managers must be booking profits (and man has SLW had a good run). I'm nibbling back in SLW though. Smaller increments this time.

    SK

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  80. P4tFjs: One of my favorite skits actually! :-) Although the Argument Clinic and the "My hovercraft is full of eels" come tied for 2nd.

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  81. Pining, DarkPurple, CHarles, Paul - all in. I think the winner getting arrested is a great prize! An ounce of silver each to a local charity of our own choosing. Easy to administer and the winner can donate one anyway. But the winner will get bragging rights, if not a criminal record.

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  82. Love the new video Turd.

    EVERYONE needs to watch this video for a little humor from the Yahoo Finance. Harry Dent is calling for a crash in the stock market but is also talking about how gold and silver are in a bubble!!! Hahaha ! What a joke this guy is.
    Someone should tell him that it's the FRN that is in a bubble!

    http://finance.yahoo.com/blogs/daily-ticker/harry-dent-major-crash-coming-stocks-commodities-already-20110331-080715-415.html

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  83. mrttt63 - do you have a link by any chance? I remember that 100x slip.

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  84. Dr. Jerome
    Are you implying that most Americans don't s know much about the current economic outlook?

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  85. Chin...I have physical gold and silver 25/75 and I know only three people who own any. One is a convert of mine, one is my brother and the other is the friend that converted my bro and I. When I show someone an ASE they have no idea what it is.

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  86. Hi everybody!

    Does anyone here know anything about opening a Swiss Bank Account?? And also the likelihood of being able to access these funds inside America during a hyperinflationary crisis??

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  87. Your video answered my question about 3 month pattern top being on the 31st versus the 1st. Seems obvious now but that's the power of all your videos to help a slow newbie like me understand. Turd, you're a creative and skillful communicator! Great Video.

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  88. Gold and silver both made a nice pop up there.

    If Blythe wants it to go down, it seems she's going to have to really smack it down. It doesn't seem like she is going to get much outside help.

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  89. with the action in SLW, i wonder if silver is going to follow the trend and sell off...

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  90. My.Harbl - you are in.

    NorthernBorder - and oil too - all going down. Yup a war in the middle east will do that. But he is probably right about stocks. I only have a few other than miners and Sprott stuff and the are all on the tsx but I am nervous about them.

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  91. why is SLW selling down? Something said on CNBC?

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  92. M.H.T

    I was just wonderin' the same thing.

    Is it Scottj who has been tracking this kind of action?

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  93. SLW starting to really get infiltrated now by hedgies. etc. It's really going to start behaving in ways that are different than what we've grown accustomed to

    As volatility gets crazier, so will our beloved SLW, I'm afraid. Could be wrong, of course

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  94. Seasonals have 2nd week in April down for Gold. I will be very careful going into tax day. Then following, it could well bounce again. Not liking all the euphoria on this board, sorry guys, just telling it as I see it. Its always the big move down one must prepare for, if that is negotiated the rest is easy. IMO.

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  95. I have interviewed everyone in my local territory, and very few had any interest, one guy that seemed interested was a patent lawyer,he might know something, maybe I'll pay him another visit.

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  96. Louis Cypher said to watch miners as they predict price movements in silver... I looked into it a bit, didn't notice any overall pattern for such a precedent, but SLW is now 1.70 off its high for the day and off about a buck in the last 90 minutes or so... I'm sure it either indicates a good time to buy SLW or a good time to sell silver, I just wish I knew which.

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  97. rthaler71,

    I guess I'm not getting the impression you are that there is euphoria going on here. Everyone seems practical enough about the risks after this huge run from 26, but Turd did just release a video predicting Blythe is backing off til around $40

    Are you saying you disagree with the video?

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  98. Syk, I believe most, if not all, of the Swiss banks will no longer allow US residents to have a Swiss Bank Accounts. (Too much of a hassle) Also be careful with foreign accounts, if they contain more than $10,000 (I think) US residents have to report annually to the US treasury what they have in the accounts. If you don't, and they find out because the banks are forced to report to the US, there is a penalty of 20%. (I think) Seems ridiculous, even if you report you income from the account, Big Brother wants to know and will come after you.

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  99. All my miners are up pretty good today except for SLW and PXZRF. We already know why Pretium is have problems, so SLW is the only other stock in my portfolio of about 20 miners that is down.

    I would not read too much into it as far as using it to predict future action in silver. Based on my stock portfolio, I would guess that silver is going up.

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  100. I think Harry Dent must have missed the first day of Econ 101 and the bsaic supply/demand chart. The sad thing is there are way too many american sheeple who believe this kind of crap.

    Had a very interesting conversation with a friend of mine who has his own Prudential agency. Very succuessful smart guy who I use to have all my accounts with before I cashed out in 2007 and went all in on physical. He stated that, last week his agency had an entire two day session on "grief" counseling for their clients.

    Said I was smart for being in all metals.

    Duh, is it that difficult to see the writing on the wall ?

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  101. (Maybe I wasn't so clear. I meant don't read too much into SLW being down as an indicator of silver action).

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  102. SLW roaring back. Already made back my earlier loss and have booked a nice profit. Missed a bid at 43.13. Would have been a winner.

    Selling might not be over with SLW. That was some serious action.

    SK

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  103. Syk, just thinking about it, Canadian banks are rated as the highest in the world. The Canadian dollar, being a commodity currency, will be strong with higher inflation. I spoke to RBC and they said I could open an account with both US and Canadian dollars. So long as the accounts are considered in the US, you would not have to del with the US treasury spies.

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  104. Was on patrol earlier today, noticed a new giant billboard proclaiming judgment day is may, 21st, 2011. Could this have an effect on the market??? hm? Don't know how many people are in that religious sect. I better be more observant in the future.

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  105. Rick,

    are you able to buy local ... if not how ?

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  106. Has anyone else seen this bilboard?? My territory is on the eastern seaboard.

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  107. Sorry, I stand corrected re: volume. See this link from Trader Dan:

    http://traderdannorcini.blogspot.com/2011/03/june-gold-8-hour-chart.html

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  108. Is silver losing traction or what's going on?

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  109. Mark I posted this here earlier. DON'T BELIEVE what the gov't and banks say about being rated the top in the world. IT'S A MASSIVE LIE. Check this out the GIGANTIC derivative holdings of the major banks:
    Royal Bank ($624 billion assets) ; $4.8 trillion total derivatives ; $4.3 trillion OTC derivatives

    TD ($432 billion assets) ; $2.4 trillion total derivatives ; $2.1 trillion OTC derivatives

    BMO ($387 billion assets) ; $2.7 trillion total derivatives ; $2.0 trillion OTC derivatives

    Scotiabank ($429 billion assets) ; $1.3 trillion total derivatives ; $1.2 trillion OTC derivatives

    CIBC ($344 billion assets) ; $1.2 trillion total derivatives ; $1.1 trillion OTC derivatives

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  110. Quite the volume last 15mins of NYSE on XAG. So funny. Like it's never going up again :)

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  111. Almost looks like blythe decided to hammer SLW instead of Ag. I bought some on the dip.

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  112. No news so I would assume the hammer of SLW was only because of some "investors" booking profits at the end of the quarter. I would expect it to rally back tomorrow.

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  113. ANOTHER Greaty video from CNBC (CNBS) talking about sticking with silver and the resistance levels at $38 !! Must be reading Turds blog and BFTD's !

    http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232?video=3000013869&play=1

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  114. Another Fed hack yapping this afternoon about raising rates is the reason the PMs have tailed off.
    Of absolutely no concern at all. Total BS to be ignored.

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  115. @ Turd,

    I think Peter Schiff agrees with you about interest rates. They have painted themselves in a corner and CAN'T raise rates.

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  116. Northern Border:

    I think if the shills at CNBS has been watching Turd she wouldn't have tried to steer that guy into saying that ETF's were the way to go. She also would have challenged him by saying something to the tune of "Isn't the safest way to "play" this metal is by owning and taking physical delivery of it? Also, if you don't think that it has much of a propensity to uptrend after $40 does that mean that you would turn bullish on the dollar...because if the price started trending down to $18 as you say, wouldn't that mean that the Fed has stopped printing money, and the economy is stabilizing?"

    But she didin't...she's full of bullshit. I'm going to pretend I didn't watch that video...I'll be buying if the price dips, I'll be buying when the price rises. Accumulation is the name of my game.

    ReplyDelete
  117. Who are these people who sit around and sell metals everytime someone comes out with a shallow report with supposedly 'good' news about the economy?

    I don't get it.

    ReplyDelete
  118. can anyone recommend some expert advisor software ?

    ReplyDelete
  119. Great video. You are talented.

    ReplyDelete
  120. @apollic

    I was not speaking of her being the one that plays in the Turd pile. I ment the dude being interviewed talking about the extreme resistance at $38.

    ReplyDelete
  121. In case the friendly wager on silver is the cause of mistaken euphoria, I would like to add a disclaimer to the action: participating in this wager is purely for entertainment value and should in no way be construed as offering any investment guidance. The participants fully realize that they must not put all their eggs in one basket, even if it is very shiny and nearly Easter.

    ReplyDelete
  122. Ginger,
    I'm with you. I don't buy on others' recommendations and I don't sell when others are crying, "Sell." I stick to the fundamentals but also watch TF's charts very closely.
    I had a nephew whom I begged to get into some silver last December. Instead he went with GM stock because it was all the talk. You can lead a horse to water...

    ReplyDelete
  123. Jeffrey Christian - silver might pull back to $17 or $18 over the next 6 months. Is he freaking nuts? That video was a waste IMO.

    JFC

    ReplyDelete
  124. @JesusfreakinCO,

    yea, the guy is smokin shit

    ReplyDelete
  125. I might be talking out of my ass, but if this upleg in the 15m chart doesn't take us past resistance @ .9 i sense another downleg to the lower 37s.

    I dont know, im a total noob, but this doesn't feel right.

    ReplyDelete
  126. Yea, I'm selling everything now so I've got lots of fiat to buy silver when it hits $17 again.

    ReplyDelete
  127. I would love to hear your comments on 2 Fed-heads a day doing a "hawk" impersonation and talking about the end of Q.E. Whats up with this? Are they worried about dollar collapse? Do you really think they let the patient (U.S. economy) off of life support, thus leading to death? Or are they just making one more desperate attempt to postpone reality? Thanks! Yukon Cornelius

    ReplyDelete
  128. @Jimmy - you are too short term focused. Look a chart from the last month and just chill out. Silver is going much higher. Let it consolidate for a few days. It is healthy behavior.

    JFC

    ReplyDelete
  129. With all of us silver bugs out here watching it like a hawk...it wouldn't get to $25 before we started buying again...let alone $17. I personally think that we will never see $17 again...I think after the collapse of the dollar, COMEX, FED (hopefully), we will see silver's intrinsic value closer to that of gold...maybe more.

    Northern:

    I honestly don't think seeing that there is resistance at $38 is any great feat...anybody with a chart in front of them can see that...

    ReplyDelete
  130. Silver will break one way or another, imho. And sooner than later. I have alot more dry powder waiting if it does. Yes the loss will hurt but the buying would be great.

    ReplyDelete
  131. Rick,

    I'm going to be away from my computer for quite awhile. Probably not back until tommorow so I will get to what I was getting at.

    With what is going on with the PM's the area where you live is probably virgin territory for a PM shop. Start ups are a lot of hard work and long hours but markets such as give rare opportunities. I was going to suggest that you and the other fellows you are involved with get together and talk this over.

    You don't need to open a store front right off the bat. You could run a small startup from a residence. A huge plus to a PM startup is that you would never lose on your inventory if it doesn't work out for you guy's.

    Just a thought I had concerning your location. That can be a captive market if done well. Education of the locals would be of great importance but with internet and just what you know right now would go a long way.

    If I lived up there I would be giving heavy consideration to an idea like this but that's just me. Only you know what is right for you and your surroundings.

    ReplyDelete
  132. Nial Ferguson said America is not Keynesian but backwards Keynesian, and at this time he would only put 10% in Gold. The spread on gold seems to be quite wide, since others believe it could be $5,000 an oz within ten years. What's the meaning of this?

    ReplyDelete
  133. It is getting obvious.

    This am, 5 minute silver chart. 8:25 a.m. Eastern Time.

    Raid from $37.72 to close at $37.62, volume was 4,374 [netdania chart, but I don't know if volume is in thousands or what?].

    Big up move at 9:00 a.m. Eastern, opens at $37.67, then closes at $37.79.

    Silver tops out right on cue at 10:00 a.m. opens at $37.91, high of $37.95, then closes at $37.89. The Raid is no doubt going to start any minute.

    Next six candles [30 minutes], silver drops as usual, to close at $37.61, volume of about 12,000. Another big sell off at 10:45 a.m., silver drops to close at $37.69, on volume of 5,500.

    We know the rest. BOS come back in and beat the shit out of Blythe, but at very low volumes, never above 2,000.

    1:20 p.m., Eastern, silver is back up to $37.88. Again, we know to watch for the afternoon/evening raid.

    And, once again, on cue, very low volume, range bound from around $37.88 to $37.70, then

    WHAMMO!!

    Huge volume of 16,500 [again, on the 5 minute chart], at 3:55 p.m., Eastern. Silver goes from open at $37.74 to close at $37.66. All day long, there is low volume, except on the raids. Nothing of note all day until SUDDENLY, a HUGE sell order of 16,500!! WTF?

    Volume tapers to a trickle, under 1,000, while silver finds support at around $37.62.

    Summary: yesterday, 5:00 p.m. Eastern, silver is at $37.40 or so. Today, at 5:00 p.m. Eastern, silver is at $37.62.

    $0.22, a gain of .58 percent.

    Silver just keeps trudging along.

    Fuck Blythe.

    damn funny word verify: stankh [stanky ho']!!

    ReplyDelete
  134. I don't know why you guys are banging on Jeffrey Christian's CNBS interview so hard. I pretty much agree with most of what he said. Silver could run to $40 in the near term, but the price is overextended from a TA viewpoint. He was doing CYA when he said it "could" fall to below $20, we all know that won't happen, but otherwise didn't say anything that greatly contradicts what we are saying here. He said he doesn't trade ETF's but likes options instead. I trade options on ETFs Patato/potahto. ;)

    ReplyDelete
  135. Hey guys!

    I just realized look at the daily chart on netdania: today is the highest close in silver in 31 years!!! :O
    Didn't feel like that during the day though (because we couldn't breach $38 and had downward waterfall pushes)

    ReplyDelete
  136. Anyone have any experience with BullionVault? Someone mentioned it to my on another forum and am curious if anyone has 'offshored' some cash in BV's Zurich vault.

    TIA,
    JFC

    ReplyDelete
  137. goudzilver,

    Funny how desire and expectation skews our perception, huh? Silver was at $26.50 about 10 weeks ago, now we closed at almost $38. Wow!!

    ReplyDelete
  138. @ Oldnavy,

    Very true! I remember when I used to get excited as silver rose a dollar from $18 to $19 and stayed there for a day or two without immediately getting crushed. Now we seem to be expecting a rise week after week. And not just that: it has to go fast too! As if "it didn't rise a dollar this week, it didn't rise at all"

    Wow indeed! :)

    ReplyDelete
  139. @EA The liquidity/stability/viability of banks is relative. How would you compare those banks in Canada with England or the USA? As well what bank(s) if any would you trust?

    ReplyDelete
  140. I think we get one more push down by blythe on phoney jobs numbers before making new highs. Just my opinion. Tomorrow afternoon and next week should be fun times, as gold is poised to make a perception-changing move. I am not as excited about the ~70 dollar run it has in it compared to the perception that precious metals are sound currency and are in a massive bull run. It will be hard to deny something is going on when this perception is broken. I even am getting text messages from friends that I have not talked to in a while, the perception of a rising gold prices is what will change everything, not the fake spot price.

    After all, blythe isn't trying to control price, she is trying to control perception. Just so happens that price is perception for algorithms and most market analysts.

    ReplyDelete
  141. @Mark and Economic Analyst,

    Yeah, I'm not sure how much I trust banks. I was reading FerFAL's blog about his experience in Argentina during hyperinflation, and he made it seem like the whole national banking system was on holiday. People's accounts were frozen and banks went on holiday.

    Under such circumstances, I wonder if you would have any way of accessing foreign accounts from w/in the States. Say you hold some Swiss Francs or CADs in a foreign account outside the country and you want to wire some if it to your Citibank or BofA account. If Citibank or BofA is on holiday or in disarray, how would you access you foreign account in the first place?

    If push came to shove, I'd report my foreign account to the IRS and they could tax me on it, fine. But if it allows me to flee the country or provides me a lifeline if it came time to abandon all hope in America (at least for a few months), then I'll gladly pay out 20% or whatever the rate would be.

    ReplyDelete
  142. Scottj88,

    I'd join your WoW team any day (if I played WoW). I'm pretty good at the Civilization games. You need to check those out if you haven't already.

    ReplyDelete
  143. Happyinthewoods, I don't use banks only CREDIT UNIONS. My belief is that ALL banks will follow suit and collapse..one day, when you're not looking. I prefer physical silver to be my bank, but that's just me.

    ReplyDelete
  144. @ JesusFreakingCo

    Yes, almost all my physical is at BullionVault. There was a discussion the other day with other people here at Turd's place about it. We all expressed satisfaction with their service. Here's the thread.

    http://tfmetalsreport.blogspot.com/2011/03/ag-commodities-and-coming-inflation.html

    ReplyDelete
  145. PM manipulation is often so disgusting to digest that it can only to be told in its "fun size" Halloween-candy form.

    Scottj88: Right on target. Perception is the key to their deception.

    ReplyDelete
  146. James Turk's commentary re gold's hyperbolic trajectory.

    https://mail.google.com/mail/?shva=1#inbox/12f0de8cdf5a9f39

    Scary to see it on a chart like that, but we all know it anyway.

    ReplyDelete
  147. Syk, Malta could be an option for you.

    Buy a property, get residency

    http://www.maltabusinessweekly.com.mt/news.asp?newsitemid=10876

    ReplyDelete
  148. Stevy said "can anyone recommend some expert advisor software ? "

    Except for one single mistaken crude option buy days from expiry, which I did not participate in, and one unhappy Tuesday, the analysis @ tfmetals.blogspot.com has had a 100% success rate for me the last few months. Honestly I scoffed at the buy points on Turd's miners, not thinking they would pull back that hard. My loss, and lesson learned.

    Poor me, I've only made a little more than 13% since the March 7 peak, 3 whole weeks that included some FUTF's, being so foolish as to not put my faith in the experienced analysis here. Otherwise, I'd be up a solid 20%. I'm just using a few miners and AGQ, no options, about 75% in @ any point in time, and due to modest beginnings have no margin on tap until reaping what I've sown in Turd's second bottom whenever it presents itself over the next 3 weeks and into May's delivery period when we get the call to exit our positions or risk enduring something uncomfortable.

    Seriously, we get daily analysis here, with wisdom. How much more money do you seek to conjure with TA than the 80% gains since Turd's bottom I would expect I'm not alone in having enjoyed?

    ReplyDelete
  149. CalLaw: That was wierd. I cut and pasted your link without looking at it and it opening my GMail account. Did I just get phished? :-)

    ReplyDelete
  150. Kiyotei:

    No, I am sorry for that. I cut and pasted from the email which I received on my gmail account.

    I am on the CMIGS mailing list for articles, which you can get here:

    http://www.cmi-gold-silver.com/Articles-gold-silver-information-investing-precious-metals.html

    Many apologies.

    I read their articles from the perspective that they stand to gain financially from me buying physical from them. So, I always read their articles with some caution.

    However, this particular article was based on logarithmic charts, which show a hyperbolic rise in the spot price of gold priced in dollars, pound, franc and euro.

    Shoot me an email and I will forward the article to you.

    bghesq@gmail.com

    By the way, I am up the road from you in Upland. I just may decide to trek down your way and meet up with you to chat.

    ReplyDelete
  151. kiyotei wrote: "Did I just get phished?"
    _____________________________________________

    Jake loves this place. Everyone is so nice, and seldom does any of the avatars resort to ignorance. Not all, just a few. But, they don't matter.

    And here we are lining our pockets with a bunch of junior miners that may or may not hit the mother lode. Hey. Jake's right with ya. I just don't understand why some get hot on one, and others just fall flat. Flat like pancake my spouse tried to make.

    Phished? Oh yeah.

    ReplyDelete
  152. CalLaw: I was just joking.. hence the smiley face (should use the /sarc tag I suppose) - just assume I'm being sarcastic most of the time ;-)

    Upland eh? I'll have to look that up since I can't recollect where it is. I already hooked up via e-mail to someone on this blog and he seems like a pretty cool fellow. The kind I could go fishing with! Anyway I'll send you an e-mail and my contact info and by all means look me up when you get to town.

    ReplyDelete
  153. Hi All,

    haven't been in here for quite a while.. busy trading. but i see a lot of great comments. it's quarter end, so there's gonna be more activity than usual.

    ReplyDelete
  154. Has someone already got one of these?

    https://www.amsterdamgold.eu/prodimg/1084/k-Goud-en-Zilver-Limited-Edition-GATA-munt-GATA-Herdenkingsmunt-Goud-.png

    Ordered mine :)

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  155. Turd,

    Kirby analytics did a fantastic report on Silver Price Suppression.

    http://www.24hgold.com/english/news-gold-silver-silver-price-suppression-how-why-and-effect.aspx?article=3409106566G10020&redirect=false&contributor=Rob+Kirby

    ReplyDelete
  156. Chin @ 3:51...The nearest coin shop is Green Bay 150 mi. Have bought from Liberty Coin Service in Lansing.(Pat Heller) Also used NWT but never again b/c it took two mths for delivery.

    ReplyDelete
  157. Bro.D,
    I have a feeling that that 'horse' is going to regret that decison and wish that he had drank the water you were trying to lead him to. There may still be time for him hopefully if he gets it together and listens to you soon. Sometimes we all have to learn the hard way. "/

    But yeah.. I agree. I just think it's sort of funny how 'news' can sway a market such that the fundos are totally ignored. Weird really.

    **************Ok...this pertains to absolutely nothing at all except I think it's just my favorite all time word verification: spaticat. lol. luv it.

    ReplyDelete
  158. wow, 150 miles from Green Bay, and that's the closest place to snag some phys (Fizz: a new word for physical silver, not to be confused with Fuzz: a new word for physical gold).

    I think you're gonna be well out of the way when the Mad Max scenario finds expression.

    ReplyDelete
  159. I'm glad to see you posting again moogle fishy. :] .....hope you've been making lotsa $$.

    ReplyDelete
  160. Code the Plumber - thanks for your advice

    i'm wondering, how do you implement Turd's analysis? - i guess these are my questions:

    - what percentage account do use to buy ?
    - how long are you holding them for?
    - do you use stops

    any pointers for implementation very much appreciated

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  161. stevy wrote: "any pointers for implementation very much appreciated."
    ________________________________________________

    stevy, hi! The market is set up to separate those who have money (well, some), from same, okay?

    If you don't know what you're doing when you dive (or even dip a toe) into the shark tank, rest assured you'll begin paying for the experience.

    It's like milking a Jersey. Not so much for the milk, more for the experience.

    ReplyDelete
  162. I think $39.50 is the next BIG resistance level. I think I will sell half as we get close, then buy back on the dip.

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  163. Jake... out of the way is why we like it. We are 1 mi. in the swamp on the end of a dead end road as well. Garden, firewood, venison, PMs, assault rifles and mucho ammo. I wish the ARs weren't needed but very well may be. word ver. lionsi, the way I feel when I'm firing an AR-15.

    ReplyDelete
  164. freddiemaniac wrote:

    "I think I will sell half as we get close, then buy back on the dip."
    _______________________________________

    to what end?

    ReplyDelete
  165. Hey Turd,

    this is funny but I was looking for coupons for precious metals vendors and I found a shoutout to you on retailmenot.com on a free shipping coupon. Your reach is spreading far and wide!

    You can read it here: http://www.retailmenot.com/view/learcapital.com

    It's under DF274

    My coin guy reads your blog also, now.

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  166. I never though I'd read a comic that reminds me of all that's going on with precious metals, but Saturday Morning Breakfast Cereal never ceases to amaze me:

    http://www.smbc-comics.com/index.php?db=comics&id=2072#comic

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  167. Jake:

    I'm talking miners and AGQ to get more fiat. I need to maximize returns. It's worked so far--sold above $36, bought back around %34. The account gets an extra kick. The next big one will be the WAR over $40 per ounce.

    ReplyDelete
  168. It's been a while since anyone made a post about what a great forum and community this is, so I'll take it this time. Turd, you have established one hell of an online community that has attracted and continues to attract some fantastic members. If I had a big yellow hat, it would be off to you, Mr Turd!

    That said, I have not seen a post from afrum in quite a while. Is he away? His poetic rants are part of the culture here and I need to read one every now and then!

    ReplyDelete
  169. So around Christmas time I was talking to my parents, right, they are retired, trying to explain all the business about Benochio Bux and the bond revolving door scam and silver price suppression, mind you I was fired up about it since I just found TF and ZH 3 weeks prior.

    They thought I was nuts. Completely, utterly, insane. When I told them I put a large sum of money into a physical silver position at $26.50 they threatened to have me committed.

    This past weekend my dad was over again. I asked him how his retirement fund was going (mostly in bonds and cash). Then I showed him my stash of silver that has had a 40% gain in the past 9 weeks.

    Guess who wants me to take him to the coin shop Saturday morning?

    ReplyDelete
  170. freddiemac: Good luck, I'll be rooting for you.

    I put what I have in a couple companies and that's enough for me. Don't be in a hurry. The ride goes on.

    ReplyDelete
  171. Oil on the move. Last 107.44. Gold not following yet

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  172. jake,

    Granted, it takes a lot of time...:)

    freddiemanic (divorced from fannie mae)

    ReplyDelete
  173. EA, I agree with you on the credit unions comment. Going to leave my bank for one as soon as I sell my place. I can't wait to go in there and tell them that "I'd like to close all of my accounts please." Will be nice.

    I lost hope after I went in to open up a smaller investing account. The woman with me basically ignored everything that I had to say and then spent her time trying to sell me mutual funds and one of their special credit cards after forcing me to fill out some bs "investor profile" and then spinning the wheel to tell me which fund I should buy. I get that she's just trying to do her job but it seems like everybody is a shill these days, just trying to hustle up some dough.

    She would have happily sold me mutual funds for my entire life savings in 25 minutes without doing any real work just to make a quick buck and they sell it to you like they are "looking out for your future" or "growing your wealth." Infuriating.

    ReplyDelete
  174. Ricky wrote:

    "She would have happily sold me mutual funds for my entire life savings in 25 minutes without doing any real work..."
    _______________________

    did she have big knockers?

    ReplyDelete
  175. Turd, does the real Blythe ever complain about your cartoons? I copy them to my Facebook page, just above a bio of the real Blythe from Wikipedia....and a picture of the wicked witch herself...and she does bear a striking resemblance to a wicked witch....

    ReplyDelete
  176. Jake...You are a lol piece of work brother.

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  177. wallace wrote:

    "I copy them to my Facebook page, just above a bio of the real Blythe from Wikipedia....and a picture of the wicked witch herself..."
    _______________________________________________

    And on the day the detectives break down your door, the papers will sadly report the event and the subsequent booking of a sad and lonely person who lived cut off from the outer world.

    ReplyDelete
  178. Has anyone seen the stupid Ally Bank commercial with the girl talking to her dog saying repeatedly, "we love our bank, we love our bank..?" I think of it when I look at my portfolio, "We love our First Majestic, We love our First Majestic."

    I'm a bit surprised at the interest above in AGQ since First Majestic seems to outperform it on a 2 day, 10 day, 3 month, 6 month and one year chart. Am I missing something?

    Thanks for the Ag(riculture) post on ZH, Turd. Every time you do that, I end up with another hundred pounds of dry goods and grains. Keep up the great work.

    ReplyDelete
  179. And we're suddenly back up to 27.80 as Hong Kong is about to open. I hope Turd's movie script comes true!

    ReplyDelete
  180. http://fofoa.blogspot.com/2010/10/flow-addendum.html

    Curious if anyone is into the writings of "Another". Another was the blogger name of someone who appeared to be well connected inside the European Central Banks. His writings began appearing on the Kitco site in '97 - '98. FOA (Friend of another) began somewhere later in this time period. Fascinating stuff about perception of value and the way the BIS values a country's gold.

    Says that in order to keep the price of oil down, they had to keep gold down as the big boys in oil require partial payment in gold. When Nixon closed the gold window in '71 guess what? Oil shortage! Gold and oil never flow in the same direction. Anyway, my apologies if this has been posted on here before.

    ReplyDelete
  181. @Elizabeth

    I agree First Majestic just keeps going up to hell with ETFs ;-p

    ReplyDelete
  182. jake the snake - I purchased my physical gold (120 ounces) and silver (2,000 ounces) way back in 2005 at under 10 bucks per coin for the silver, and 459 bucks per coin for the gold. Trust me, I am not lonely, I have a wife, two grown children and one grandchild. I also had 2,000 shares of slv, but I sold them too soon, but I still made a nice profit. I recently established new positions in both gld and slv.

    ReplyDelete
  183. J. E.

    I have not read that before and it is a nice piece of insight. I know a bit about Saudi culture and they believe in gold, this makes some sense to me. Sheds some light on the gold-oil value relationship, too.

    Thanks.

    ReplyDelete
  184. oldNavy: Wow you read the whole thing? I did too (yesterday) and I thought my tiny skull would implode. Not sure if all the facts checkout but FO/FOA always has something to think about in their mysterious posts. I wish I could find an article I saw a few months ago concerning the Muslim view of gold and silver and how they are making their own coins. It was from Indonesia I think. It is long ingrained in the culture of those in that part of the world. I think we are seeing it here in the U.S. more as REAL money too.

    ReplyDelete
  185. Tomorrow is April 1st, was this not the day Turd was rolling out his new website? "Not an april fools" if I remember. Does this go live within the next 24 hours?!?!?

    ReplyDelete
  186. Scottj88: Haven't heeard anything from the great and powerful Turd about it in a while. I'm looking forward to see what Google has in store:

    http://www.eweek.com/c/a/Cloud-Computing/Google-April-Fools-Day-Gags-from-2000-to-2010-a-History-734820/

    ReplyDelete
  187. Scott, sorry to report that it will probably be 5/1 before its ready.

    Jake, cut Wallace a little slack. No need for personal attacks here. We all take enough shot from the EE on a daily basis.

    Old navy, thanks.

    ReplyDelete
  188. sorry, didn't know it was personal

    no shit

    ReplyDelete
  189. Jake...I thought it was more dark humor than a personal attack,just sayin'.

    ReplyDelete
  190. @ Turd

    Thanks for update, its not like this format is too shabby anyways. Things are still developing nicely in this very unique discussion-based community. Think of it this way, you should have more followers (as you are becoming more mainstream by the day I would imagine), and when you release your website, maybe it catches on and blows up. Situational release (just like miners releasing news on up days instead of down days) may be a strategy you look into. Definitely take the opportunity to try to reach out, I am sure you have thought very much, and once again thank you.

    ReplyDelete
  191. Great stuff Turd!

    Blythe Masters is a nasty, waspish shrew.
    A rue-bitten harpy.
    A shriveled, carious-eyed harridan.

    There I said it. I feel better already. I'm glad I got that off my chest.

    Well, off to the coin shop.

    ReplyDelete
  192. Google Trends
    "How to buy Silver"
    http://www.google.com/trends?q=how+to+buy+silver&ctab=0&geo=all&date=all

    ReplyDelete
  193. If gold and oil are still joined at the hip, then judging from the Crude Oil widget at the top, we should have a good day tomorrow, wouldn't you say?

    ReplyDelete
  194. Rick,

    That's what I thought, too. Always best to put an emoticon of some kind for clarification. Tone of voice doesn't always convey.

    Kiyotei,

    We have such a short cultural memory in this country (not always a bad thing) that we don't realize what a long one other cultures have. We also spurned paper money until the War Between The States forced its use (wars always bring about fiat currency). As I have pointed out here before, the Spanish/Mexican silver peso was accepted as money in the USA through most of the 18th century.

    Islamic countries, especially Arab societies, still believe that gold is the real thing and the only real thing. Knew some guys that worked for Saudi royalty and they used to carry trunkloads of it around on cargo planes with them when they traveled.

    ReplyDelete
  195. erg,
    ...and I might add: "warped plume-plucked varlot."

    ReplyDelete